Gerald Celente

From Knowledge Fight Wiki
Revision as of 23:18, 23 February 2025 by RainbowBatch (talk | contribs) (RainbowBatch generated stub.)
(diff) ← Older revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff)

Gerald Celente (born November 29, 1946) is a long-time guest of Alex Jones' who is always credited as being a super-accurate "trends forecaster." "Trends forecaster" is the perfectly vague title; you give yourself the air of credibility, while simultaneously giving yourself an out when you are consistently wrong ("hey, I'm just looking at trends here").

Celente is, much like all of Alex's "financial guests" like Harry Dent or Peter Schiff, only on the show to spread pessimism and dread about the state of the economy. Though the numbers look good, don't trust them! He has a rich history of predicting market collapses on Alex's show, and then they never happen.

Gerald's Credibility

The argument that people should listen to Celente is largely based on vague proclamations that he has a proven track record. When a specific example is needed, he is inevitably credited with predicting the market crash of 1987.

This is actually not an example of him having great predictive power, but of how his constant "the market is about to crash" fear-mongering is inevitably going to be correct if you say it for long enough. Celente predicted the market crash in January 1987, and the crash did not happen until October[1]. Beyond that, his prediction also included president Reagan resigning, among other extraneous failures.

This is the pattern of Gerald Celente: be super vague, and constantly remind people of the times you've been close to right, while refusing to acknowledge the thousands of times your "forecasts" have been wrong.

Celente On InfoWars

Gerald Celente exists on the Alex Jones Show essentially as an assistant gold salesman. Ted Anderson has gold to sell, so Alex Jones interviews "financial experts" who preach impending doom and the coming collapse of the dollar, which is always just around the corner. These people (Celente, Bob Chapman, Peter Schiff, etc.) all may or may not personally believe the things they say on the show, but they are on the show to lend credibility for Alex's sales pitches for Ted's gold.

He's a bit like a financial Chicken Little, if Chicken Little was getting working for a guy who sold bunkers to protect yourself from the falling sky.

Every year, Celente has predicted a complete collapse of the economy. In 2008, he was in the ballpark, but ultimately that prediction is meaningless because it comes from the same person who predicted total financial meltdown in 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, and pretty much every other year you can think of.

One of the reasons his predictions are not very good is that his process is not very good. He told the authors of the book Invest In Yourself that he came up his predictions by basically just skimming two newspapers a day and making whatever connections you want to between stories[2]. Celente basically has the same process as your grandfather, and probably a lot of similar predictions, he just has a much larger platform to yell them out into the world.

Some Of Celente's Predictions

It is really hard to track down a list of Celente's failed predictions because his Trends Journal is not available online, and the cost is beyond what we are willing to pay to make fun of him. That said, there are a number of remnants of dumb predictions he's made in the past outside his journal that are illustrative of his inaccuracy.

In 1999, he disparaged the idea of bubble tea to the San Francisco Chronicle saying, "unless you're going to have some kind of mystical, ancient Chinese power from drinking it, it is not going to go anywhere"[3]. Leaving aside the vaguely racist explanation for his position, this was a profoundly bad prediction. In 2016, the bubble tea market was valued at $1.9 billion, with projections of it reaching $3.2 billion by 2023[4]. The US bubble tea market represents approximately 50% of that total.

This was not a prediction from someone who knew anything or had any particular insight, it was little more broad dismissal from a cranky old xenophobe.

In anticipation of New Years 2000, Psychology Today interviewed Celente about the things we could expect to see, and his answers ran the gamut from dumb to hilariously dumb[5].

  • He predicted that people would begin turning their suburban lawns into gardens and this would transform society: "Somewhere around the year 2000, the revelation--and revolution--will come. The lawn!"
  • He predicted that music would become much less angry: "Just as rock and roll replaced swing and ragtime music, a new genre of millennium music will emerge. It will be upbeat without the anger and despair of today's cutting-edge rock and rap." (note: Limp Bizkit's "Break Stuff came out in May 2000, and Nu Metal owned the early 2000's)
  • He predicted that we would begin going back to the old ways: "Voluntary simplicity, once merely a counterculture ideal, will finally become a reality in the twenty-first century. Moderation, self-discipline, and spiritual growth will be the personal goals of the future, not material accumulation."

This is a glimpse of how terrible Celente is at predicting trends. He thought we were heading toward moderation and self-discipline in 2000? VH1's reality show programming was just getting going, The Real World was mid-way through its pivot into being about hot drunks having sex, and the fad of grills (or "mouth jewelry") was right around the corner.

Generally speaking, Celente has no idea what he's talking about, and the times he's even close to right, it's not a product of accuracy, it's a product of him saying the same vague thing over and over until it is inevitably kind of right.

Celente Is A Globalist

Celente's bio that appears everywhere from his Amazon author's page to any time he needs a bio clearly says that, "while Celente holds a U.S. passport, he considers himself a citizen of the world"[6][7][8]. One wonders if Alex knows that one of his regular guests feels this dismissively about his American citizenship. This is really nothing short of an affront to this country's borders and sovereignty.

Relevant Episodes by Release Date

No. Title Coverage

start date

Coverage

end date

Air date Episode type
38 38: 30 Hour Marathon Coverage May 9, 2017 Special Edition
49 49: July 6-13. 2015 July 6, 2015 July 13, 2015 June 5, 2017 2015 Investigation
58 58: June 23, 2017 June 23, 2017 June 23, 2017 June 28, 2017 Present Day
59 59: August 17-18, 2015 August 17, 2015 August 18, 2015 June 30, 2017 2015 Investigation
62 62: August 19-26, 2015 August 19, 2015 August 26, 2015 July 10, 2017 2015 Investigation
98 98: May 2-3, 2012 May 2, 2012 May 3, 2012 October 30, 2017 Time Travel
102 102: Alex On Russian Media November 14, 2017 Deep Dive
119 119: August 16, 2012 August 16, 2012 August 16, 2012 January 15, 2018 Time Travel
131 131: David Lynch Interview February 26, 2018 InfoWars Interview
133 133: Operation Paul Revere March 5, 2018 Present Day
143 143: March 25-31 Part 1 March 25, 2018 March 31, 2018 April 2, 2018 Present Day
144 144: March 25-31, Part 2 March 25, 2018 March 31, 2018 April 2, 2018 Present Day
145 145: April 2, 2018 April 2, 2018 April 2, 2018 April 4, 2018 Present Day
151 151: April 16, 2018 April 16, 2018 April 16, 2018 April 17, 2018 Present Day
155 155: January 7-9, 2009 January 7, 2009 January 9, 2009 April 27, 2018 Tea Party Investigation
163 163: January 27-29, 2009 January 27, 2009 January 29, 2009 May 23, 2018 Tea Party Investigation
184 184: Godly Particles and Illiteracy July 25, 2018 Time Travel, Wacky Wednesday
215 215: March 11-12, 2009 March 11, 2009 March 12, 2009 October 12, 2018 Tea Party Investigation
224 224: March 20, 2009 March 20, 2009 March 20, 2009 November 2, 2018 Tea Party Investigation
230A 230A: Obama Deception, Part 1 November 19, 2018 Documentary
230B 230B: Obama Deception, Part 2 November 20, 2018 Documentary
230E 230E: Obama Deception, Part 5 November 23, 2018 Documentary
234 234: March 26, 2009 March 26, 2009 March 26, 2009 December 3, 2018 Tea Party Investigation
236 236: December 4-5, 2018 December 4, 2018 December 5, 2018 December 7, 2018 Present Day
268 268: December 17-18, 2012 December 17, 2012 December 18, 2012 February 25, 2019 Sandy Hook Investigation
269 269: December 19, 2012 December 19, 2012 December 19, 2012 February 27, 2019 Sandy Hook Investigation
283 283: January 4-6, 2013 January 4, 2013 January 6, 2013 April 12, 2019 Sandy Hook Investigation
289 289: January 10-13, 2013 January 10, 2013 January 13, 2013 April 26, 2019 Sandy Hook Investigation
294 294: January 15-16, 2013 January 15, 2013 January 16, 2013 May 10, 2019 Sandy Hook Investigation
312 312: February 10-13, 2013 February 10, 2013 February 13, 2013 June 24, 2019 Sandy Hook Investigation
323 323: July 19, 2019 July 19, 2019 July 19, 2019 July 22, 2019 Present Day
359 359: It's All Legs October 23, 2019 Wacky Wednesday
423 423: April 20, 2020 April 20, 2020 April 20, 2020 April 22, 2020 Present Day
451 451: June 29-30, 2020 June 29, 2020 June 30, 2020 July 1, 2020 Present Day
457 457: July 12-13, 2020 July 12, 2020 July 13, 2020 July 15, 2020 Present Day
476 476: Moon Colonies Part 2 September 2, 2020 Project Camelot, Wacky Wednesday
494 494: October 19, 2020 October 19, 2020 October 19, 2020 October 21, 2020 Present Day
503 503: Dan's Cara-Vanity Project Part 2 November 1, 2020 November 13, 2020 November 16, 2020 Present Day
563 563: June 2, 2021 June 2, 2021 June 2, 2021 June 7, 2021 Present Day
642 642: January 24, 2022 January 24, 2022 January 24, 2022 January 28, 2022 Present Day
683 683: May 16, 2022 May 16, 2022 May 16, 2022 May 20, 2022 Present Day
743 743: October 29-30, 2022 October 29, 2022 October 30, 2022 November 4, 2022 Present Day
749 749: December 1-2, 2003 December 1, 2003 December 2, 2003 November 21, 2022 2003 Investigation
800 800: April 24, 2023 April 24, 2023 April 24, 2023 April 26, 2023 Present Day
855 855: Live At QED In Manchester August 24, 2009 August 24, 2009 October 4, 2023 Live Show, Time Travel