Gerald Celente

Gerald Celente (born November 29, 1946) is a long-time guest of Alex Jones' who is always credited as being a super-accurate "trends forecaster." "Trends forecaster" is the perfectly vague title; you give yourself the air of credibility, while simultaneously giving yourself an out when you are consistently wrong ("hey, I'm just looking at trends here").

Celente is, much like all of Alex's "financial guests" like Harry Dent or Peter Schiff, only on the show to spread pessimism and dread about the state of the economy. Though the numbers look good, don't trust them! He has a rich history of predicting market collapses on Alex's show, and then they never happen.

Gerald's Credibility

The argument that people should listen to Celente is largely based on vague proclamations that he has a proven track record. When a specific example is needed, he is inevitably credited with predicting the market crash of 1987.

This is actually not an example of him having great predictive power, but of how his constant "the market is about to crash" fear-mongering is inevitably going to be correct if you say it for long enough. Celente predicted the market crash in January 1987, and the crash did not happen until October. Beyond that, his prediction also included president Reagan resigning, among other extraneous failures.

This is the pattern of Gerald Celente: be super vague, and constantly remind people of the times you've been close to right, while refusing to acknowledge the thousands of times your "forecasts" have been wrong.

Celente On InfoWars

Gerald Celente exists on the Alex Jones Show essentially as an assistant gold salesman. Ted Anderson has gold to sell, so Alex Jones interviews "financial experts" who preach impending doom and the coming collapse of the dollar, which is always just around the corner. These people (Celente, Bob Chapman, Peter Schiff, etc.) all may or may not personally believe the things they say on the show, but they are on the show to lend credibility for Alex's sales pitches for Ted's gold.

He's a bit like a financial Chicken Little, if Chicken Little was getting working for a guy who sold bunkers to protect yourself from the falling sky.

Every year, Celente has predicted a complete collapse of the economy. In 2008, he was in the ballpark, but ultimately that prediction is meaningless because it comes from the same person who predicted total financial meltdown in 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, and pretty much every other year you can think of.

One of the reasons his predictions are not very good is that his process is not very good. He told the authors of the book Invest In Yourself that he came up his predictions by basically just skimming two newspapers a day and making whatever connections you want to between stories. Celente basically has the same process as your grandfather, and probably a lot of similar predictions, he just has a much larger platform to yell them out into the world.

Some Of Celente's Predictions

It is really hard to track down a list of Celente's failed predictions because his Trends Journal is not available online, and the cost is beyond what we are willing to pay to make fun of him. That said, there are a number of remnants of dumb predictions he's made in the past outside his journal that are illustrative of his inaccuracy.

In 1999, he disparaged the idea of bubble tea to the San Francisco Chronicle saying, "unless you're going to have some kind of mystical, ancient Chinese power from drinking it, it is not going to go anywhere". Leaving aside the vaguely racist explanation for his position, this was a profoundly bad prediction. In 2016, the bubble tea market was valued at $1.9 billion, with projections of it reaching $3.2 billion by 2023. The US bubble tea market represents approximately 50% of that total.

This was not a prediction from someone who knew anything or had any particular insight, it was little more broad dismissal from a cranky old xenophobe.

In anticipation of New Years 2000, Psychology Today interviewed Celente about the things we could expect to see, and his answers ran the gamut from dumb to hilariously dumb.

• He predicted that people would begin turning their suburban lawns into gardens and this would transform society: "Somewhere around the year 2000, the revelation--and revolution--will come. The lawn!"
• He predicted that music would become much less angry: "Just as rock and roll replaced swing and ragtime music, a new genre of millennium music will emerge. It will be upbeat without the anger and despair of today's cutting-edge rock and rap." (note: Limp Bizkit's "Break Stuff came out in May 2000, and Nu Metal owned the early 2000's)
• He predicted that we would begin going back to the old ways: "Voluntary simplicity, once merely a counterculture ideal, will finally become a reality in the twenty-first century. Moderation, self-discipline, and spiritual growth will be the personal goals of the future, not material accumulation."

This is a glimpse of how terrible Celente is at predicting trends. He thought we were heading toward moderation and self-discipline in 2000? VH1's reality show programming was just getting going, The Real World was mid-way through its pivot into being about hot drunks having sex, and the fad of grills (or "mouth jewelry") was right around the corner.

Generally speaking, Celente has no idea what he's talking about, and the times he's even close to right, it's not a product of accuracy, it's a product of him saying the same vague thing over and over until it is inevitably kind of right.

Celente Is A Globalist

Celente's bio that appears everywhere from his Amazon author's page to any time he needs a bio clearly says that, "while Celente holds a U.S. passport, he considers himself a citizen of the world". One wonders if Alex knows that one of his regular guests feels this dismissively about his American citizenship. This is really nothing short of an affront to this country's borders and sovereignty.

Relevant Episodes by Release Date

No.	Title	Coverage start date	Coverage end date	Air date	Episode type
38	38: 30 Hour Marathon Coverage			May 9, 2017	Special Edition
49	49: July 6-13. 2015	July 6, 2015	July 13, 2015	June 5, 2017	2015 Investigation
58	58: June 23, 2017	June 23, 2017	June 23, 2017	June 28, 2017	Present Day
59	59: August 17-18, 2015	August 17, 2015	August 18, 2015	June 30, 2017	2015 Investigation
62	62: August 19-26, 2015	August 19, 2015	August 26, 2015	July 10, 2017	2015 Investigation
98	98: May 2-3, 2012	May 2, 2012	May 3, 2012	October 30, 2017	Time Travel
102	102: Alex On Russian Media			November 14, 2017	Deep Dive
119	119: August 16, 2012	August 16, 2012	August 16, 2012	January 15, 2018	Time Travel
131	131: David Lynch Interview			February 26, 2018	InfoWars Interview
133	133: Operation Paul Revere			March 5, 2018	Present Day
143	143: March 25-31 Part 1	March 25, 2018	March 31, 2018	April 2, 2018	Present Day
144	144: March 25-31, Part 2	March 25, 2018	March 31, 2018	April 2, 2018	Present Day
145	145: April 2, 2018	April 2, 2018	April 2, 2018	April 4, 2018	Present Day
151	151: April 16, 2018	April 16, 2018	April 16, 2018	April 17, 2018	Present Day
155	155: January 7-9, 2009	January 7, 2009	January 9, 2009	April 27, 2018	Tea Party Investigation
163	163: January 27-29, 2009	January 27, 2009	January 29, 2009	May 23, 2018	Tea Party Investigation
184	184: Godly Particles and Illiteracy			July 25, 2018	Time Travel, Wacky Wednesday
215	215: March 11-12, 2009	March 11, 2009	March 12, 2009	October 12, 2018	Tea Party Investigation
224	224: March 20, 2009	March 20, 2009	March 20, 2009	November 2, 2018	Tea Party Investigation
230A	230A: Obama Deception, Part 1			November 19, 2018	Documentary
230B	230B: Obama Deception, Part 2			November 20, 2018	Documentary
230E	230E: Obama Deception, Part 5			November 23, 2018	Documentary
234	234: March 26, 2009	March 26, 2009	March 26, 2009	December 3, 2018	Tea Party Investigation
236	236: December 4-5, 2018	December 4, 2018	December 5, 2018	December 7, 2018	Present Day
268	268: December 17-18, 2012	December 17, 2012	December 18, 2012	February 25, 2019	Sandy Hook Investigation
269	269: December 19, 2012	December 19, 2012	December 19, 2012	February 27, 2019	Sandy Hook Investigation
283	283: January 4-6, 2013	January 4, 2013	January 6, 2013	April 12, 2019	Sandy Hook Investigation
289	289: January 10-13, 2013	January 10, 2013	January 13, 2013	April 26, 2019	Sandy Hook Investigation
294	294: January 15-16, 2013	January 15, 2013	January 16, 2013	May 10, 2019	Sandy Hook Investigation
312	312: February 10-13, 2013	February 10, 2013	February 13, 2013	June 24, 2019	Sandy Hook Investigation
323	323: July 19, 2019	July 19, 2019	July 19, 2019	July 22, 2019	Present Day
359	359: It's All Legs			October 23, 2019	Wacky Wednesday
423	423: April 20, 2020	April 20, 2020	April 20, 2020	April 22, 2020	Present Day
451	451: June 29-30, 2020	June 29, 2020	June 30, 2020	July 1, 2020	Present Day
457	457: July 12-13, 2020	July 12, 2020	July 13, 2020	July 15, 2020	Present Day
476	476: Moon Colonies Part 2			September 2, 2020	Project Camelot, Wacky Wednesday
494	494: October 19, 2020	October 19, 2020	October 19, 2020	October 21, 2020	Present Day
503	503: Dan's Cara-Vanity Project Part 2	November 1, 2020	November 13, 2020	November 16, 2020	Present Day
563	563: June 2, 2021	June 2, 2021	June 2, 2021	June 7, 2021	Present Day
642	642: January 24, 2022	January 24, 2022	January 24, 2022	January 28, 2022	Present Day
683	683: May 16, 2022	May 16, 2022	May 16, 2022	May 20, 2022	Present Day
743	743: October 29-30, 2022	October 29, 2022	October 30, 2022	November 4, 2022	Present Day
749	749: December 1-2, 2003	December 1, 2003	December 2, 2003	November 21, 2022	2003 Investigation
800	800: April 24, 2023	April 24, 2023	April 24, 2023	April 26, 2023	Present Day
855	855: Live At QED In Manchester	August 24, 2009	August 24, 2009	October 4, 2023	Live Show, Time Travel